A few years ago, numerous headlines predicted how a brave new self-driving world was just around the corner to put three million truck drivers out of work.

Today, the media and industry analysts have slow-rolled their predictions as technology companies and automakers still grapple with developing autonomous driving systems that are ready for prime time on a large scale. As it turns out, humans still have the edge in making decisions in a wide range of challenging driving situations that continue to hamper the robots.

But less hype does not mean a lack of momentum for vehicle automation. And while robots may not entirely rule the road in the foreseeable future, you can expect autonomous systems to become advanced enough in the few years to impact the trucking industry – and change how the driver interacts with and operates the vehicle.

Consider these latest developments in autonomous trucking space that could affect your business in the next five years.

  1. Navistar and TuSimple partner to produce autonomous trucks by 2024.

Navistar International Corporation, which produces International Trucks, and TuSimple, a global self-driving technology company, recently announced that the two companies have entered into a strategic partnership to co-develop SAE Level 4 self-driving semi-trucks targeted for production by 2024.

As a frame of reference, SAE Level 4 means that the truck can perform the driving task and monitor the driving environment on its own without the need for a human to take back control. But the vehicle can operate in autonomous mode only in approved environments and conditions – such as on the highway and predetermined surface roads. Level 5 – the highest level on the self-driving scale – is when the truck can perform all driving functions in any environment.

“Autonomous technology is entering our industry and will have a profound impact on our customers’ businesses,” Persio Lisboa, President and CEO at Navistar, said. “Navistar’s strategic partnership with TuSimple positions us to be a leader in developing solutions for our customers by leveraging our organizations’ collective expertise to integrate our vehicle design and systems integration capabilities with TuSimple’s innovative autonomous technology.”

TuSimple and Navistar began joint development of pre-production self-driving trucks in 2018.

“The investment in TuSimple and the partnership with Navistar marks an important milestone for our company,” Cheng Lu, president at TuSimple, said. “With the combined expertise of Navistar and TuSimple, we have a clear path to commercialize self-driving Class 8 trucks at scale.”

TuSimple operates a fleet of 40 self-driving trucks in the U.S., shipping freight autonomously for companies such as UPS and McLane Company between Arizona and Texas. The company plans to demonstrate completely driverless operations in 2021.

  1. TuSimple launches the first Autonomous Freight Network.

In July 2020, TuSimple launched the world’s first Autonomous Freight Network (AFN), an ecosystem comprising autonomous trucks, digital mapped routes, terminals and TuSimple Connect, a proprietary autonomous operations monitoring system.

The partners participating in the launch of the AFN are UPS, Penske Truck Leasing, U.S. Xpress – which operates one of the largest carrier fleets in the U.S. – and McLane.

“Our ultimate goal is to have a nationwide transportation network consisting of mapped routes connecting hundreds of terminals to enable efficient, low-cost long-haul autonomous freight operations,” Cheng Lu, president at TuSimple, said. “By launching the AFN with our strategic partners, we will be able to quickly scale operations and expand autonomous shipping lanes to provide users access to autonomous capacity anywhere and 24/7 on-demand.”

The company said that the AFN would roll-out in three phases to lay the groundwork for autonomous trucks to become commercially available by 2024.

Phase I (2020-21): Offer service between Phoenix, Tucson, El Paso, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio.

Phase II (2022-23): Expand AFN service from Los Angeles to Jacksonville and connect the east coast with the west.

Phase III (2023-24): Expand driverless operations nationwide, adding major shipping routes throughout the lower 48 states, allowing customers to operate their own TuSimple equipped autonomous trucks on the AFN by 2024.

The company said that it would replicate this strategy in Europe and Asia after the AFN rolls out nationwide.

U.S. Xpress, which operates 7,000 trucks across the U.S, will provide additional freight lanes to help accelerate TuSimple’s Level 4 autonomous technology learning in real-world conditions.

“For the past two years, U.S. Xpress has worked closely with TuSimple to help define carriers’ needs for L4 trucks,” Eric Fuller, president and chief executive officer at U.S. Xpress, said. “We are interested in understanding how TuSimple technology can make our fleet safer and more fuel-efficient as well as how it can improve the overall delivery experience for our professional drivers and customers.”

  1. Aurora and PACCAR partner to deploy autonomous trucks, acquires Uber’s self-driving unit.

In January, autonomous vehicle technology company Aurora entered into a global strategic partnership with heavy-duty truck manufacturer PACCAR to deliver the Aurora Driver’s first application in trucking.

Aurora said that this partnership would focus on two key areas:

  • Bring both companies’ engineering teams together around an accelerated development program to build driverless-capable trucks, starting with the Peterbilt 579 and the Kenworth T680.
  • Bring together the broader PACCAR and Aurora organizations to create an expansive commercialization plan for the deployment of these trucks at scale over the next several years.

This announcement comes a few weeks after Aurora said that the company is acquiring Uber’s self-driving unit, Advanced Technologies Group (ATG).

In a press statement, Chris Urmson, co-founder and CEO of Aurora, said, “By adding the people and technology of Uber’s Advanced Technologies Group to the incredible group we’ve already assembled at Aurora, we’re shifting the landscape of the automated vehicle space. With the addition of ATG, Aurora will have an incredibly strong team and technology, a clear path to several markets, and the resources to deliver.”

  1. Waymo and Daimler Trucks partner to develop Level 4 autonomous Freightliner Cascadia.

In October 2020, Daimler Trucks and Waymo, formerly known as the Google Self-Driving Car Project, signed a broad strategic partnership to deploy autonomous SAE Level 4 technology.

Their initial effort will combine Waymo’s automated driver technology with a unique version of Daimler’s Freightliner Cascadia to enable autonomous driving.

No specific timetable for production has been set. The press statement reads: “The autonomous Freightliner Cascadia truck, equipped with the Waymo Driver, will be available to customers in the U.S. in the coming years.”

The Bottom Line

Yes, the hype behind robots ruling the road has dissipated. And the industry consensus is that an onboard operator or driver will still play an essential role in trucking for the foreseeable future. But don’t fall asleep on the self-driving space. Companies like TuSimple, Aurora, Waymo and other players continue to move full-steam ahead with development and strategic partnerships to bring self-driving vehicle systems to market that could ultimately change how you do business in the expedited trucking industry.